Hello,
I am much more of a geek than a marketing person, so I may have the wrong vision here, but here is my opinion:
* I think that Apple will gain some market share, but not a universal overthrow. There is still an annoyingly large percentage of colleges preparing IT people who do not understand the elegance of the architecture, and develop an Anti-Mac bigotry.
* I think that if Apple were to release OS X to the Wintel community, and let it run on any clone, I think a number of people would convert easier. Especially if the viruses can be managed -- OS X is very safe to many modern viruses / attacks, but it can be argued that with most of the world running Windoze, there isn't enough population out there to form proper statistics. What would be really cool is to have the Apple presence on the computer market blossom, and prove the truth that OS X is much more hardened from attacks.
* I think that Linux is the largest threat to Microsoft, with it's open-source architecture, and environment that continues to live today. Linux gets closer and closer to the point of being functional as a daily desktop. I think it has a little bit more to go, but so far, I am doing nearly everything on Linux that I did on my Mac.
Good questions.
Christian
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