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need a good prediction algorithm

i am trying to make an application which would predict the value of investments such as shares based on the past values, and help the user to choose the better option.
want some suggestions on the fuzzy algorithms that i can use in my project.

it would be a form based application and coding would be done in C#.

student_learner
Newbie Poster
12 posts since Nov 2009
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Search for fuzzy logic in C# on the web.
Example: http://www.codeproject.com/Articles/4667/Fuzzy-Logic-Dot-Net

ddanbe
Senior Poster
3,829 posts since Oct 2008
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An easy(ish) way would be to curve fit x number of points and then extrapolate using this function. This is, however, by no means a professional investment banking approach. They use all kinds of prediction methods (cost risk analysis, trending, etc). But software developers get paid very well in this industry to keep their mouths shut about the algorithms they use :( . Not everything is open source, unfortunately.

skatamatic
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959 posts since Nov 2007
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Perhaps they keep their mouths shut, because they program it with just curve fit and extrapolation!

ddanbe
Senior Poster
3,829 posts since Oct 2008
Reputation Points: 2,070
Solved Threads: 661
 
Perhaps they keep their mouths shut, because they program it with just curve fit and extrapolation!

That might explain the state of our economy ;)

skatamatic
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959 posts since Nov 2007
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This article has been dead for over three months

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