10 Linux Predictions for 2009

khess 0 Tallied Votes 384 Views Share

Everyone wants to know what's going to happen in the new year as if anyone can accurately predict these things. However, one can deduce, with reasonable accuracy, that there will be innovations that are designed to get our attention. This is my list of Linux-oriented predictions for 2009.
The keyword for 2009 is Innovation.

1. Buyouts/Mergers - 2009 will see its share of company buyouts and mergers--all innovation-related. Larger companies will buy up smaller ones with innovative products and services. Many new open source millionaires will be created through these transitions.

2. Gadgets, Gadgets, and more Gadgets - This will be the Year of the Gadget and they'll be Linux-powered. You'll see dozens of new gadgets from phones to home appliances to weather stations come out in 2009 all designed to attract your attention and your money. Watch for rapidly falling prices on these little gems along the way too.

3. Virtualization - Linux-powered virtualization in the form of virtual appliances, virtual services, and hosted solutions are going to overwhelm even the most enthusiastic virtualization afficianados among you. I will have plenty of fodder for my Virtualization column at linux-mag.com as well as posts here on DaniWeb. I expect to see weekly announcements for new products, new services, and new companies popping-up to solve our problems.

4. Desktop Innovations - Ahh, the pet peeve of every IT jock in the business: Desktop Linux. Well hold on to your shorts naysayers, this is going to be one helluva ride through the dark recesses of the Desktop nether regions. Expect big things in the Linux Desktop in 2009 as a true Microsoft killer will emerge from an unlikely source. Windows 7 will be laughable by comparison.

5. Portable Servers - Say what? Oh yeah, get ready for this: Portable Servers. I've written articles on this and now it will happen from commercial sources. Truly portable services on portable servers. You'll be able to provide services to any group, anywhere, any time with these. Want to have a LAN party at a Community Center? Take your WiFi-enabled portable server and get to it.

6. Embedded Systems - This is one area that will enjoy quantum leaps of innovations in the coming year. Embedded Linux systems will power microwave ovens, regular ovens, sprinkler systems, robotic maids, and much more. Get ready for the embedded revolution.

7. Game Console - A major game console manufacturer will switch to Linux for their operating system to power the most innovative game console yet. You think the Wii is cool? Just wait till you see what's brewing elsewhere.

8. Home Automation - New homes will not only be built with green technology, green materials, and more efficient fixtures; those fixtures and technologies will be powered by Linux. Your new home will resemble something from The Jetsons rather than something from contemporary life. For existing homes, there will be packages available to upgrade your home to a "smart" home but it will still pale in comparison to a freshly built home with the innovations built-in.

9. Automobiles - Auto companies need to trim those budgets and executive salaries aside, they need to use some innovative technologies to remedy some of their money angst. Linux-powered car brains with pluggable and programmable modules will arise as one solution. I wouldn't be a bit surprised to see new car companies emerge using green technologies and Linux as part of the mix.

10. Cloud Computing - 2009 is going to be a big year for The Cloud and Cloud Computing. Linux-powered Cloud vendors will win out over those who employ other operating systems. Why? Not just costs but the major Virtualization vendors use Linux for their virtual platforms (VMware and Xen). Cloud vendors are going to use technology that's cheap, easy to maintain, commercially supported, and mature--in other words, Linux.

There you have them. My Linux predictions for 2009. The proof of my prophecy won't be available until this time next year. Stay tuned and keep referring to this post over the coming year to check my status. I will refer to this posting as innovations emerge over the coming year.

Do you have any Linux predictions for 2009?

Dani AI

Generated

A short retrospective on ’s “Innovation” theme and the 2009 predictions: several items were prescient, a few were optimistic, and the path from idea to mainstream often took years rather than months. The notes below highlight where the predictions landed, call out gaps in the original thread, and point to concrete milestones that readers can check.

Mobile gadgets and large multi‑touch devices did accelerate as predicted. Android (Linux‑kernel based) made important consumer moves in 2009 (Cupcake and expanded device support), and multi‑touch all‑in‑one designs were already shipping from HP and others; X.Org added multi‑input/MPX support around the same time, so the software and hardware pieces were converging. (en.wikipedia.org)

Virtualization and cloud became dominant enterprise trends; Canonical even baked Eucalyptus/cloud tooling into the 2009/2010 Ubuntu stream as vendors raced to provide cloud stacks and virtual appliances. That said, the “true Microsoft killer” desktop prediction overstated the tempo — Windows 7 (late 2009) kept a big share of the desktop market and desktop Linux remained a small slice for years. (en.wikipedia.org)

On hardware mashups and “portable servers”: the idea matured more slowly but clearly arrived. Low‑cost SBCs (Raspberry Pi in 2012) and tiny NAS/embedded appliances made Linux powered, portable services commonplace for events, labs, and DIY projects. The PS3 example raised here was correct in principle — Linux could be installed via OtherOS, but Sony removed that feature in 2010, sparking controversy and lawsuits; that nuance matters when judging the “PS3 is Linux powered” claim. (en.wikipedia.org)

Automotive and living‑space predictions also tracked reality over a longer horizon: open automotive stacks (Automotive Grade Linux) and OEM use of Linux grew in the 2010s, and companies like Tesla publish Linux kernel sources for infotainment components. The “major console switches to Linux” line didn’t happen in 2009, but Valve later pushed a Linux‑based living‑room/handheld play (SteamOS / Steam Deck), which shows the idea resurfaced in new form. (linuxfoundation.org)

Bottom line: the thread nailed the direction (cloud, embedded, devices) but timing and scope varied. Where predictions claimed immediate platform upsets (desktop or console), reality was slower and more fragmented; where predictions named infrastructure and embedded growth, follow‑on projects and products in the 2010s validated the thesis.

CTT 0 Newbie Poster

This is my prediction:
Big multi-touch all-in-one multimedia PCs, sort of a mix of iphone, imac 25", hp TouchSmart and MPX with boxee or xbmc.
All the technology is there, the HP touchsmart is a 25" multi-touch capable pc. xserver has already multi-input (MPX) capabilities and xbmc of boxee are the most advanced media software out there. just need some one that integrates everything in 1 product and voila!

DeOiD 0 Light Poster

The PS3 is already linux powered....

khess 95 Practically a Master Poster

I believe it was the original plan for Sony to install Linux on PS3's disk but the plan never materialized. They can run Linux but they don't come with it pre-installed.

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