Member Avatar for Atahladte19

Hi Guys,

Will AGI take all jobs that are currently done by humans? Maybe it will eliminate most jobs that don't have a technical background or most low-medium skilled jobs?

I am not talking about A.I as it is today or ASI but in the future lets say 2060

Or humans will be able to adapt to AGI and find new sorts of work in an emerging industry or re-skill and change their nature of their work or AGI may even complement humans but not replace them

Or AGI is over-hyped and it will only ever slightly increase unemployment rate from the current percentage now to 20%-40% worldwide

Or there will be a utopia in 2060 where people get a universal basic income and where people do whatever they want such as travel, gaming etc and let AGI take all the jobs and everyday will be like a weekend/public holiday.

Many Thanks

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  • Latest Post Latest Post by JamesCherrill

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raised the core question and flagged an important social-risk angle. The simple, evidence-based takeaway is this: advanced AI (including a hypothetical AGI) will reconfigure work more than it will magically delete all human roles. Whether that reconfiguration becomes broad prosperity or concentrated displacement depends heavily on economic incentives, business choices, and public policy.

At the task level, automation tends to substitute predictable, routine tasks and to complement work that needs judgement, creativity, and social skills. That task-based view explains why many occupations are reshaped rather than wholly erased — whole jobs split into automated and human parts. See the task-driven framework in Autor's review for background (Autor, 2015) and the WEF summary of shifting roles and in-demand skills (Future of Jobs Report 2020).

Empirical and modelling studies give a mixed picture. McKinsey’s scenarios show a large share of work activities could be automated with current technologies, yet actual outcomes depend on adoption speed, costs, and how automation changes demand (). Research by Bessen highlights that automation often creates new kinds of jobs through demand-side effects, but those gains are unevenly distributed (Bessen, 2019).

Actionable points: individuals should combine domain expertise with AI-tool fluency, nurture learning agility, communication, and systems thinking; employers should redesign roles and invest in retraining; policymakers should fund active labor-market programs and design redistribution or safety nets to manage transition. The technical timeline for AGI is uncertain — plan for a range of speeds and focus on resilient skills and fair institutions to shape whichever future arrives.

Member Avatar for JamesCherrill

As was the case with manual labour, smart machines will increasingly offer better price/performance than humans over more and more activities, replace them, thus creating more unemployment. That will be true not just of existing jobs, but also any new jobs that the change creates.
In countries with an ethos of social social responsibilty (Sweden etc) the "utopia" is entirely possible.
In countires based on selfishness (USA etc) the wealthy who own the machines wil continue to keep all the gains for themselves regardless of the consequences for their fellow countrymen. Everybody else will either get a job providing personal services to the rich, or join the abandoned sub-class to survive as best they can on scavenging and crime. Is that pessimistic? I think not, it's already happening.

Edited by JamesCherrill
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