400 Million Firefox downloads bruise Microsoft in Europe but not globally

happygeek 0 Tallied Votes 768 Views Share

Mozilla has hit the 400 million downloads mark for the Firefox web browser client since it was officially launched in November 2004, a rise of 56 percent in the last 12 months alone. Of course, updates, reinstalls and trials are all included in download figures which have little real world impact upon the only statistic that really matters: market share based upon usage. Again, Mozilla will tell you, and indeed told me, that it commands a 28 percent market share across Europe according to the latest figures from XiTiMonitor which also reveals that Internet Explorer enjoys a 66.5 percent share in the same region.

Which is a good result for Firefox, no doubt about that, but how does it pan out when you take a more global view? Well according to a recent PC World report, the answer would appear to be not so hot actually. Quoting figures from NetApplications.com it reckons that Firefox is going backwards in the global share stakes, dropping from 8.71 percent to just 8.07 percent while Internet Explorer is regaining lost ground up from 86.56 percent to 87.2 percent.

Let's just look at that again, without the rose tinted spectacles that Mozilla PR would have me wear: despite 400 million downloads in three years, and despite gaining impressive ground in Europe, the real deal is that Firefox has still not managed to be anything more than a bruise on the big toe of Internet Explorer. It is the browser client I use myself, and I love it for all the right reasons, which is why I am kind of kicked back when I learn that the 'alternative' to Internet Explorer still cannot break that magic 10 percent market share barrier.

Even if it did, 10 percent is hardly likely to really worry the Seattle giants, is it?

Compared to the other alternatives, of course, Firefox is truly storming ahead. That same report has Apple Safari in third place on 2.13 percent, in front of AOL Netscpae on 1.5 percent, and the increasingly poorly looking Opera on just 0.49 percent.

I know that we all once said that Netscape could never be toppled from its position as the King of the Web, and we were all very wrong indeed, but it sure looks that way now regarding Microsoft from where I am sitting.

Dani AI

Generated

Short primer (adds context to and ): the thread mixes two different things — PR-style download milestones and independent measures of active usage — and treating them as the same leads to confusion. Downloads are a useful publicity metric but they routinely count repeats (reinstalls, updates, distro/packaged installs and test downloads) so they overstate the size of the active user base. Independent reporting at the time and analysis of the milestone made that exact distinction. (arstechnica.com)

Why different "market share" numbers disagree: analytics firms do not all measure the same thing. Some report pageviews, others report unique visitors; some weight by country or by a panel; samples of tracked sites differ; and things like prefetching, bot scanners or embedded webviews can distort totals. That is why two reputable sources can show meaningfully different percentages for the same month. When someone in the thread corrects an old data citation (thanks ), the practical lesson is to check the snapshot date and the provider’s methodology before drawing conclusions. (en.wikipedia.org)

Quick checklist to interpret browser numbers (apply this before repeating a headline): verify the measurement type (pageviews vs uniques), check geographic scope (global vs region), look at the multi-month trend rather than a single month, compare at least two independent sources, and treat vendor download/installation PR as distinct from active-user telemetry. For historical threads like this one, the most useful takeaway is methodological: numbers mean different things depending on how they were collected — so the "bruise" metaphor can be right or wrong depending on which metric you use. (en.wikipedia.org)

mozpkim 0 Newbie Poster

Davey - do note that you are linking to global market share data from August of 2005.

The updated Net Applications data you want is for August 2007 and is here: http://marketshare.hitslink.com/report.aspx?qprid=3

The August 2007 Net Applications marketshare estimates put Firefox at about 14.56% globally.

Paul Kim, Mozilla Corporation

peter_budo 2,532 Code tags enforcer Team Colleague Featured Poster

Wow, nice to have input from inside ! ! !
Nice article as always Davey :icon_smile:
I'm happy that Firefox is doing so well as IE is not tool of my choise...

happygeek 2,411 Most Valuable Poster Team Colleague Featured Poster

Paul, mea culpa. I have no idea how I managed to mix up the data for 2005 and 2007. However, even allowing for the 14 percent figure, it is still disappointing all things considered. I say this as a huge Firefox fan, who really cannot understand why the market just refuses to budge in any meaningful way when it comes to jumping ship from IE.

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