i don't have flash (on my favorite browser, out of choice), besides, using flash to replace simple animated gifs is mega-overkill, and flash doesn't work well atall with CSS (each 'movie' has to be hard-coded into individual pages)..
SVG looks promising if it's taken up by all relevant parties... it's not only pretty, static, scalable vector images; it can be manipulated with client-side script, it could feasibly be controlled on a very fine basis using a CSS -type technology; and it's an open, W3C, standard, unlike flash.